Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 228.928927 257.652158 289.450213 327.416174 371.711518 421.997512 483.743248
2025-02-16 180.920529 217.662027 261.872503 319.581786 393.799850 487.252998 615.787087
2025-02-23 154.237720 193.697872 243.833922 313.314688 408.894939 538.482944 732.336615
2025-03-02 140.480045 182.770437 238.991267 320.970408 440.538811 613.688863 893.472525
2025-03-09 127.697303 170.963082 230.646495 321.430783 460.565672 673.868255 1042.981545
2025-03-16 115.648587 158.527492 219.520413 315.657653 469.377184 717.049405 1172.688944
2025-03-23 107.509357 150.649280 213.807263 316.784069 488.315929 778.510243 1346.210764
2025-03-30 98.784153 140.976358 204.251856 310.413940 493.557418 816.838046 1484.759465
2025-04-06 92.322454 134.075610 198.157044 308.697118 506.069263 869.529951 1663.336978
2025-04-13 84.122228 123.790012 185.749004 294.925048 495.125772 876.245024 1746.366586
2025-04-20 81.635569 122.260536 187.222056 305.022064 529.036192 975.540609 2060.739160
2025-04-27 79.901831 121.754563 190.254420 318.092416 570.325852 1097.454581 2465.953596
2025-05-04 75.811951 117.158287 186.125862 317.919772 586.072312 1169.374120 2772.594948
2025-05-11 70.798938 110.672039 178.222806 309.853276 584.612548 1202.819164 2987.336850
2025-05-18 66.590996 105.255657 171.754971 303.835437 586.585759 1244.604123 3241.088792
2025-05-25 64.717804 103.723550 172.091923 311.205399 618.776786 1366.518923 3789.654728
2025-06-01 62.029572 100.563877 169.178064 311.648585 635.369783 1452.465807 4257.957928
2025-06-08 58.775717 96.182727 163.650747 306.090795 637.151812 1499.468510 4610.104148
2025-06-15 56.615206 93.634086 161.385465 307.175265 654.998990 1594.898070 5190.865349
2025-06-22 53.751344 89.625454 156.026891 301.041902 654.172627 1636.592205 5577.955045
2025-06-29 51.611739 86.833119 152.843025 299.388703 664.504734 1714.212323 6161.793689
2025-07-06 48.333552 81.738613 144.795698 286.124067 642.970708 1688.942152 6267.632142
2025-07-13 47.735898 81.669171 146.767797 295.849571 683.909822 1873.284230 7494.812642